what the seven surveys that evaluated it say

The arrival of Javier Milei to the presidency It has so many peculiarities that it’s hard to compare his start with that of other leaders. Beyond the debate about whether they really consider the worst economic and social legacy since the return of democracy (or not so much), the figure of the president himself, his political journey and set-up put Argentine society before a unpublished scenario.

He is the first economist president, he achieved his greatest achievement with just two years of real political career, he does not have a solid party behind him and his weakness in Congress is impressive.

The combination of these strange factors would also explain the beginning of the administration, with a Cabinet still being formed, with the president failing to fulfill part of his campaign promises and with a mega DNU that must pass the Congress filter.

All this already, How do these first steps fall on public opinion? Clarion analyze this sunday seven surveys published since Milei’s inauguration. son of the consultants CB, Fixer and Marketing & Statistics (they worked together), Zuban Córdoba, Circuitos, DC and the UBA.

They evaluated, among other things, the image of the President (and his Cabinet), the expectations economic, the view on the first measures and (very interesting) the tolerance time of people so that improvements appear.

Four surveys evaluate Milei’s image. AND Their numbers are in tune with the current times. Although he was recently supported, he is partly affected by what happens to all politicians, who garner more rejection than support.

Two of the surveys that measured it at the national level (Circuits and Fixer/M&E) give you a balance in favor: 42.9% positive and 39.1% negative the first; + 49% and – 40% the second. Paraca Zuban CórdobaOn the other hand, the balance is against: + 48.3% and – 50.1%.

Another consultant, C.B., evaluated him province by province, in a comparison with Axel Kicillof that seems to anticipate the crack that is coming. All of you The president clearly did better than the governor..

Fixer/M&E and Zuban Córdoba They also measured different Cabinet officials. and there was two that performed welleven surpassing the President in positive image: the vice Victoria Villarruel and the Minister of Security, Patricia Bullrich.

The rest is mixed between a still high level of ignorance (such as the Chief of Staff nicolas posse the minister Guillermo Francos) and others who, perhaps because of their role, are beginning to receive high rejection (such as the person in charge of the Economy, Nicolas Caputo).

Regarding the inheritance received, the starting point of the new management, it is clear that it is bad/bad. circuits asked people to compare their present with the recent past and a 66.4% said that today it is “worse”.

Regarding expectations for one or two years, there is a particularity. It was a parameter in which the Fernándezes made water, but that had picked up somewhat in the campaign with the possibility of a victory for Milei. People who believed that if the libertarian won they would be better off.

But since the speech in Congress, plus the first measures and high price increases, public opinion has recalculated and the majority says that, at least in the short term, things will remain just as bad or worse.

In the three surveys that considered this point (Circuits, Fixer/M&E and the UBA) there are more pessimists than optimists.

The impact of the new measures was also evaluated by three reports: Circuits, Tachyon and DC. The first two, with an adverse balance for Milei. The third, with a strikingly high balance.

circuits asked who benefits and affects the President with this start: in the first case, they stand out “the businessmen”; In a second, “Workers”.

But even more interesting is when the consultants come out to ask about the tolerance time, in the face of a Government that arrived with more than 55% of the votes in the runoff. And there the conclusion is that Milei has time but little.

tachyon It is one of those that investigates the adjustment tolerance time. With these results:

Delaware 6 months to 1 year: 28%.

The UBA and Zuban Córdoba They also investigated this issue and the results were somewhat more relaxed for the President. In the first case, the 49% give Milei “more than a year” to improve the economy. In the second, the 32.6% are willing to wait for him “his entire mandate”.

Fixer and Marketing & StatisticsFinally, they directly asked how many respondents believe it will take lower inflation: he 37% believe that “they will not make it”.