by The National Weather Service issued a yellow level alert for strong storms for this Saturday in the City, the Buenos Aires suburbs and eleven other provinces.
The alert issued applies to the entire north, northeast and part of the center of the province of Buenos Aires, where a temperature is expected to be between 23 degrees minimum and 29 maximum. According to the agency, the rains will reach the AMBA during the morning, continue during the afternoon and will be isolated at night.
The SMN reported that the area will be affected by storms, some locally strong, which may be accompanied by occasional falls of hail, intense gusts, strong electrical activity and abundant falls of water in short periods. Accumulated precipitation values are estimated between 30 and 70 millimeters, which may be exceeded occasionally.
The other affected areas are: the entire province of Córdoba and Santa Cruz; much of Santa Fe, Entre Ríos, Salta, San Luis and Chubut; the west of Jujuy; the east of Catamarca and La Rioja; and the south of Tucumán.
For tomorrow, Sunday, no rain is expected in Buenos Aires. Partially cloudy to slightly cloudy skies are forecast, winds from the southeast sector rotating to the east, with gusts of up to 50 kilometers per hour during the morning, and a minimum temperature of 17 degrees and maximum of 26.
An autumn with more rain is expected for the Coast
The next quarter will be a stage where there will be increased chance of precipitation than usual in the provinces of the northern coast and a warmer than normal autumn is expected in the northwest and south of Patagonia, as detailed by the SMN in its climate forecast.
The report prepared by the organization for the months of March, April and May He specified that in the northern coast there will be a greater probability than usual of rainfall being recorded while the occurrence of rain will be normal or less than usual for the northwest and eastern region of Patagonia.
Although for the center, north and south of the country, a behavior “normal” Regarding rainfall, the organization clarified that “the occurrence of locally more intense precipitation events than normal over the center and north of the country is not ruled out, especially during the first half of the quarter.”
The organization also estimates an autumn with warmer conditions of the usual ones for the west of the NOA and southern Patagonia, while the average temperatures will occur in a “normal” or “above normal” way in the rest of the northern provinces, including the Litoral, east of Buenos Aires . and western Patagonia.
The SMN describes “Above Normal” as a category that “implies that the predicted values will be higher than the upper limit of the normal range,” as detailed in the study.
In turn, temperatures will be within the usual range for much of the Cuyo region, southern Litoral and eastern Patagonia and within the “normal” or “below normal” range for the central area of the country.
The SMN highlighted that the quarterly climate forecast is a “very useful tool for medium and long-term decision-making.”
However, the report “does not provide details about the weather conditions on a given day or consider singularities such as heat or cold waves, heavy rain or severe storms, so it must be complemented by daily forecasts and alerts.”
Consequently, the SMN suggests staying informed with smaller scale, daily and weekly forecasts, as well as through the Early Warning System at www.smn.gob.ar.
Furthermore, they recall that “the quarterly climate forecast is made based on the analysis of the experimental numerical forecasts of the main global climate simulation models and national statistical models, added to the analysis of the evolution of oceanic and atmospheric conditions.”
